China formally signed the Copenhagen Accord on 9 March as one of the last big CO2 emitters (Russia is the one big CO2 emitter that has yet to sign). With this, China is following other emerging economies, such as India (which also signed this week), Indonesia, South Africa, Mexico and Brazil. This shows that emerging economies, even though with hesitation, see the need in an international agreement on climate change and are starting to act on this.
So what does China’s association mean for the prospects of reaching a more binding and ambitious agreement at the next UNFCCC COP in Mexico? Will the increasing level of sign up also by emerging economies increase chances for greater accountability to citizens by the COP for reaching a deal which makes a real difference?
While China signing up is a huge step forward, it has to be borne in mind that none of the agreements in the Copenhagen Accord are legally binding, and despite signing up, China does not legally commit itself to cut its emissions. Yet with China coming on board the political consensus is strengthened, which is an important signal at a time when important forces are seeking to damage the credibility of the scientific evidence basis that supports joined up global action on climate change. The peer pressure that will increasingly arise from a commonly agreed political document may thus also pave the way for a legally binding agreement ideally to be achieved in Mexico. Ity can thus only be hoped that the force field of accountability is slowly turning from being pointed at those with the greatest private economic interests, towards citizens most affected by climate change.
That said, hopes for a legally binding agreement inMexico may still be dashed. First, the US continues to have trouble with finally agreeing a relevant climate bill, and second much will depend on who follows Yvo de Boer when he leaves his post in July. Negotiations may get harder. Eventually, achieving accountability of the global climate change governance process to citizens will depend both on decisive leadership by the UNFCCC and members states on change, and the ability to put in place binding agreements that can be effectively monitored and enforced. China’s association with the Copenhagen Accord is a promising step – but not enough to do the job yet.
Tags: Citizens, Climate Change, global governance

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